Right now people want simple answers to a complex problem which is a recipe for disinformation.
So instead, a simple, applicable analogy:
We can’t predict how many hurricanes will hit the US over the next 10 years. But we know that there are hurricanes. We know the places that have historically been impacted by them. We know the kinds of damage they cause. We even know the atypical complications they can produce that have surprised us in the past.
So even though we can’t predict them, we can prepare for them.
Simple.